Is QQQ undervalued?

QQQ Valuation Overview

Last updated: 31 January 2026

QQQ is an exchange-traded fund providing exposure to Technology, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary. Top holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AVGO, AMZN.

Current Valuation

QQQ

Ticker: QQQ
Fair Value 1.0% UNDERVALUED
Timing Signal UNKNOWN
Risk Level MODERATE
Confidence MODERATE

The QQQ ETF is currently considered to be slightly undervalued by about 1%. This means the price is a bit lower than what some experts think it's worth. The risk level is moderate, indicating a balanced level of uncertainty for investors.

Analysis date: 31 January 2026
Indicators only. No investment advice.

Quick overview

The QQQ ETF is currently considered to be slightly undervalued by about 1%. This means the price is a bit lower than what some experts think it's worth. The risk level is moderate, indicating a balanced level of uncertainty for investors.

What moved the ETF last month?

  • The technology sector, which makes up nearly half of the ETF, had a significant impact on its performance.
  • NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft are major players, together making up about 26% of the ETF. Their stock price changes greatly influence the ETF's value.
  • The communication services sector, including companies like Google and Meta, also played a role, although to a lesser extent.
  • Economic news such as interest rate changes or tech industry trends might have affected the ETF's value.
  • In short: Technology giants and economic conditions were the key drivers last month.

Why is the ETF valued this way today?

  • The companies in this ETF are very profitable, with an average return on equity of about 54%, which is high compared to most stock markets.
  • They also maintain strong profit margins, keeping a large portion of their revenue as profit.
  • The ETF's price-to-earnings ratio, which shows how expensive stocks are relative to earnings, is quite high, reflecting investor expectations for future growth.
  • The companies have relatively low debt compared to their equity, suggesting financial stability.
  • In essence, the ETF's value reflects strong profitability and investor confidence in future growth.

What factors should investors watch next?

  • Keep an eye on interest rate changes, as they can affect borrowing costs and consumer spending, impacting tech stocks.
  • Watch for earnings reports from major holdings like NVIDIA and Apple, as they can influence the ETF's performance.
  • Geopolitical events or regulations that impact the tech industry could also play a significant role.
  • Economic growth trends, particularly in sectors like technology and communication services, could affect future valuations.
  • It's important to monitor any shifts in consumer demand, especially in the tech and consumer discretionary sectors.

Disclaimer: No investment advice. For informational purposes only.

Key Metrics

Valuation

Trailing P/E 68.8x
Price/Book 22.2x

Quality

ROE 53.9%
Profit Margin 28.6%

Growth

Factor Scores

Value Score -0.16
Quality Score +0.36
Growth Score +0.00

Top Holdings Impact

Ticker Name Weight P/E Score
NVDA NVDA 9.3% 46.9x +2.8%
AAPL AAPL 8.9% 32.5x +1.4%
MSFT MSFT 7.7% 26.8x +4.2%
AVGO Broadcom Inc 6.2% N/A N/A
AMZN AMZN 5.3% 33.4x +1.4%

Valuation History

Coming soon

Line chart: Fair value curve and current valuation curve

Table: Monthly valuation history (fair value %, timing, risk, confidence)